talkSPORT have you covered with free horse racing tips and free bets on Thursday’s fixtures at Carlisle and Wincanton.
Tom Lunn has gone through the cards, form, going and much more to help guide your horse racing betting choices.
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Thursday racing tips
CARLISLE
1.57: Western Zephyr 3/1 (1.5pts)
3.42: Inis Oirr 5/2 (1pt)
WINCANTON
2.53: Hold Your Fort 7/2 (1pt)
3.28: Pop The Champagne 12/1 Each-way (1pt)
Western Zephyr
Might well be 0 for 6 over fences but his 4th placed effort at Kempton amongst some handy chasers bodes well here, up against some debutants and other novices.
Three of those chases can be chalked off too as something clearly was not right at the start of this season nor at Sandown in April.
Subsequently, he was off for a wind op last month and now down 4lb from when seen just seven lengths off Persian Time.
That form does track well against some of these and with Sean Bowen up, he’s got a strong chance plus the experience over fences already, even if he’s not won yet.
He also placed just 3/4 of a length off of Xcitations in November last year off 4lb higher so should be well-in if the wind op can take an immediate effect.
Inis Oirr
Inis Oirr certainly has the best stamina form in this field, with a win at Musselburgh in Class 2 company over 4m, when winning over 11 rivals in February.
He fell next time out at Ayr in April and returned in September to place 3rd behind Hidden Depths.
The gelding did well considering the weight difference, he as upped 14lb for that wide margin success in February, but did prove that he’s not been found out by the handicapper on return.
He could definitely improve after his first run of the season, in which the winner went on to win again at Market Rasen on Tuesday, while Kinondo Kwetu is also just a top-rated chaser in these stamina contests.
Abuffalosoldier could be up there too after placing a close 4th in a great battle at Ayr in April won by Sharjah, but he will also have to improve and go well first time off a break.
Hold Your Fort
Hold Your Fort took a 34lb rise in his stride two starts ago at Newton Abbot, making it a hattrick of wins and a steep rise in the weights after going off a mark of 74 initially in June and winning by a wide margin.
He was upped 7lb next time out and again won easily over the same course and distance of 3m2f.
That prompted a heavier rise from the handicapper but he fought back in the final couple of furlongs to win by a head to Dripsey Moon.
He was upped another 3lb yet won off top-weight at Newton Abbot again, that time it looked comfortable again ahead of Honey I’m Good, despite going off as the top-weight.
Hard to know where his limit is now but there’s got to be a suspicion his consistency and four-timer won’t be stopped by another 5lb rise just yet.
4-5 over fences is great too and that’s more chase wins than Lord Accord, Inflexible and Fantastikas have in much less time.
Pop The Champagne
12/1 is probably about right for this mare as she’s not won since 2022.
However, she’s been switching it up consistently since then between hurdles and all-weather racing.
While she’s not won for so long it’s only been eight hurdle contests without a win, but in five of those she’s placed in the top three.
If just for another placed effort she’s worth backing at this great price against some other horses with question marks attached, due to trip, experience etc.
She’s being upped in trip to this far for the first time and there’s no reason she shouldn’t be effective over further to try and reignite the wins.
Tom Lunn’s Profit/Loss
August ’24: +34.88
From May ’24: +147.96pts
From July ’23: +360.52pts
All odds correct at time of writing
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