With no win in their last four Premier League outings, Aston Villa will seek three points when they host title-chasing Liverpool at Villa Park.
Aston Villa vs Liverpool best bets
- Liverpool to win – 89/100 with SBK
- Over 2.5 and BTTS – 4/5 with Sky Bet
- Liverpool to score over 1.5 goals – 13/20 with Copybet
Aston Villa vs Liverpool odds
Find the latest match odds for Aston Villa vs Liverpool. All odds are provided by our best football betting sites. Odds are subject to change.
Aston Villa vs Liverpool predictions
With neither Aston Villa nor Liverpool required to play in the Champions League playoffs, Liverpool’s Matchday 29 fixture at Villa Park has been brought forward with the Reds playing in the Carabao Cup final on the weekend this match is scheduled.
If the Reds win, they will be ten points clear at the top of the table. But, to get the three points, Arne Slot’s men will have to overcome an Aston Villa team that hasn’t lost at Villa Park since Matchday 2 of the season.
Despite being hard to beat at home, Villa’s top-four hopes are fading. Unai Emery’s team are now ninth in the table with 38 points from 25 matches.
Villa are six points behind fourth-place Manchester City, and with as many as eight teams in the fight for third and fourth place, qualification -through the league – for next season’s Champions League looks a long way off for the Midlanders.
More points were dropped at Villa Park last Saturday. This time Ipswich left with a share of the spoils, and the Tractor Boys had to play all the second half with ten men after Axel Tuanzebe saw red after 40 minutes.
Being a man down didn’t prevent Ipswich from taking a shock lead through Liam Delap after 56 minutes. Villa equalised not long after, with Ollie Watkins picking up the scraps from a Marcus Rashford free-kick that struck the bar.
Villa huffed and puffed, but couldn’t find the winner and had to settle for a 1-1 draw.
The league table looks good for Liverpool. They sit top with 60 points from 25 matches.
But what a week Arne Slot’s men have had, and how different the matches against Everton and Wolves could have played out.
Liverpool started with a 2-2 draw away at Everton in the Merseyside derby. James Tarkowski’s last-gasp equaliser for the Toffees gave the home team a share of the spoils and deprived Liverpool of two points.
Liverpool were then coasting to a win over Wolves on Sunday, leading Vítor Pereira’s team 2-0 at the break and in full control.
The Reds then had a shocker of a second half, failing to register one shot on target. Matheus Cunha pulled a goal back for Wolves after 67 minutes. That left Liverpool clinging on for the remaining minutes, not really sure whether to defend what they had or look for a killer third goal.
Liverpool ultimately won the match 2-1, giving them a seven-point lead over Arsenal. But with a tough run of matches on the horizon, Slot’s men need to quickly regain their composure if they are not to see their lead start to disappear.
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Aston Villa vs Liverpool betting tips
Liverpool defeated Aston Villa 2-0 on Matchday 11 of the season. Villa will be looking for revenge on a ground where they haven’t tasted defeat since the 24th of August.
Liverpool to win
Villa are 12 matches unbeaten on home turf in the Premier League.
But, the Claret and Blue have only won six of those 12. And they have only won one of their last four at home.
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Villa should have defeated Ipswich on Saturday. It’s fair to say that Alex Palmer had an inspired debut in goal for the Tractor Boys. But the flip side to that is Villa were very wasteful.
Liverpool were on the ropes in the second half against Wolves. But, they found a way to get the job done, and we say they will find a way past Villa as well.
Back Liverpool to win at 89/100 with SBK
Over 2.5 goals and BTTS
Aston Villa don’t do clean sheets. They have three in 25 matches this season. Villa are also the only team in the top half of the table with a negative (-3) goal difference.
Liverpool always scores on the road. They haven’t drawn one blank away from home this season.
Villa have scored in 11 of their 13 home matches. The Reds have conceded in seven of their 13 away league matches.
We expect all of those trends to continue at Villa Park, meaning both teams will score and there will be over 2.5 goals in the match.
Back over 2.5 goals and both teams to score at 4/5 with Sky Bet
Liverpool to score over 1.5 goals
Liverpool have scored at least two goals in 22 of their 25 Premier League matches this season.
Only Nottingham Forest (twice) and Crystal Palace have prevented the Reds from scoring twice in a match during this campaign.
Despite their good home record, Aston Villa have only kept two clean sheets at Villa Park; one against Manchester United and one against Southampton.
Liverpool should have no problem scoring at Villa Park. If you’re not confident Liverpool will win this match after their tough week, this could be the best bet for you instead.
Back Liverpool to score two or more goals at 13/20 with Copybet
How to watch Aston Villa vs Liverpool
- Location: Villa Park, Birmingham, England.
- Date and time: Wednesday 19th February, 7.30pm GMT.
- How to watch: TNT Sports 2 and TNT Sports Ultimate.
Read more about the 2024/25 football season
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About the author
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Dean Etheridge
Dean Etheridge is an experienced freelance sports betting writer who specialises in football, cricket, and darts, with a keen focus on the Premier League and Champions League, as well as in-depth coverage of Premier League Darts and major tournaments. He can turn his hand to all aspects of the beautiful game and beyond, delivering expert analysis across a range of sports. He predominantly covers the Premier League and Champions League but can turn his hand to all aspects of the beautiful game. You can follow Dean on LinkedIn (@deanetheridge)
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