The Premier League is on pause for the conclusion of the league phase of the 2024/25 Nations League.

In our recommended accumulator, we have set our sights on five of the matches taking place on either Friday or Saturday.

A £10 wager on our three-leg acca would pay out £54, while the same stake on our five-leg version offers a potential return of £139.91.

Belgium vs Italy: Italy or draw (4/7)

A point here would be enough for Italy to book their place in the quarter-finals of the Nations League.

Top of Group 2 heading into matchday four, the Azzurri hold a six-point advantage over third-placed Belgium, who realistically need to win both of their remaining games to stand a chance of finishing in the top two.

The reverse fixture in October finished 2-2, as Belgium came from two goals down to pick up a point in Rome after Lorenzo Pellegrini was shown a red card.

Luciano Spalletti is an attack-minded manager for the most part, but he will be pragmatic given Italy do not necessarily need to win this one.

Ultimately, this is likely to be a disappointing night for Belgium. Hedge your bets by making use of the double chance market. 

Go for an Italy win or a draw at 4/7 with bet365

Denmark vs Spain: Spain to win (4/5)

Spain were held to a goalless draw by Serbia in a surprise result on matchday one, but they have been perfect since then.

Three wins in a row, including a 1-0 defeat of Denmark last month that was more one-sided than the scoreline suggests, have lifted la Roja into spot.

Spain have already qualified for the quarter-finals of the competition, but that does not mean they will be taking it easy against Denmark.

The Danes are second in the group but their place in the last eight is not yet assured. Next week’s showdown with Serbia could prove decisive in that regard.

Against Spain on Friday, Denmark are likely to come unstuck. They are certainly capable of giving the European champions something to think about over the course of 90 minutes, but Spain should ultimately prove too strong.

Choose a Spain win at 4/5 with bet365

Turkey vs Wales: Both teams to score (10/11)

Craig Bellamy has had a bright start to life in his first managerial role. 

With two wins and two draws to their name so far, his Wales team are unbeaten in their group as they aim to earn promotion to League A.

However, this is a crunch clash for the Dragons. Currently two points behind Turkey, they probably need to win to keep their hopes of automatic promotion alive. A second-place finish would give Wales a second chance in the play-offs.

The problem is, a trip to Turkey will not be easy in the slightest. Anyone who watched Vincenzo Montella’s men at Euro 2024 can attest to that.

Wales, who have played a more proactive brand of football since Bellamy took charge, have scored in each of their last three games. So have Turkey, who hit four goals past Iceland last time out.

Select both teams to score at 10/11 with bet365

Scotland vs Croatia: Under 2.5 goals (9/10)

At first glance, this might look like a curious pick. In three of both Scotland and Croatia’s four games up to now, there have been over 2.5 goals. 

Friday’s match at Hampden Park could be a tighter affair, however. Scotland showed excellent defensive resilience in a 0-0 draw with Portugal in their last game and they will look to replicate that here.

Croatia can struggle to break down deep blocks at times, so they will have to remain patient if Scotland turn in a dogged display.

It is also worth bearing in mind that a draw for Croatia would not be a bad result – indeed, it would qualify them for the quarter-finals provided Portugal beat Poland in the other fixture in the group. 

That could disincentive the visitors to take risks going forward, contributing to a low-scoring encounter.

Back under 2.5 goals at 9/10 with bet365

Netherlands vs Hungary: Netherlands to win (4/11)

The Netherlands beat Bosnia-Herzegovina 5-2 on matchday one, but they have not had a great deal to cheer about since then.

Back-to-back draws with Germany and Hungary, followed by a loss to the former in Munich, have left the Dutch’s participation in the quarter-finals in the balance.

Ronald Koeman’s team and Hungary are level on five points heading into this showdown at the Johan Cruyff Arena.

Since head-to-head record trumps goal difference in the Nations League, the winner of this game is guaranteed to finish in the top two of the group.

Hungary are in with a chance, but the Netherlands should have a bit too much quality. Home advantage is another factor in their favour.

Tip the Netherlands to win at 4/11 with bet365

About the author

Greg Lea

Greg Lea is a freelance football writer from London. He predominantly covers the Premier League and has had work published by the Guardian, FourFourTwo, ESPN and others.

Follow Greg on X: @GregLeaFootball

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