Southampton are the likeliest team to go down to the Championship, but there will no doubt be plenty of twists and turns along the way. Here is our comprehensive guide to the Premier League relegation odds and more.
Latest Premier League relegation odds
The 2024/25 Premier League season is under way and the fight to avoid relegation has begun in earnest. The three promoted teams went straight back down last term, but there is reason to believe this season’s basement battle will be more dramatic.
Here are the odds from our recommended football bookies:
Southampton – 4/11 with Paddy Power
Leicester City – 8/15 with bet365
Ipswich Town – 8/11 with Sky Bet
Everton – 6/4 with Betfred
Wolverhampton Wanderers – 9/4 with BoyleSports
Nottingham Forest – 7/1 with VBET
Fulham – 7/1 with bet365
Brentford – 7/1 with talkSPORT BET
Bournemouth – 10/1 with VBET
Crystal Palace – 12/1 with bet365
*odds are subject to change (Updated on September 19)
Teams most likely to get relegated
Every bookmaker has similar views on the teams that will be in the relegation conversation in the 2024/25 season. Here are the main contenders for the drop, featuring our analysis of each potential struggler.
Southampton (4/11)
Southampton ascended back to the Premier League via the play-offs, as they upset Leeds United in the Wembley final. Russell Martin’s men play a possession-based brand of football and their manager will not change his ways in the top flight.
There is a danger, though, that savvier opponents will pick Southampton off, allowing them to control the ball before attacking the space. The Saints conceded a huge number of goals in the second tier last term and there are question marks up front too.
Bet on Southampton to get relegated at 4/11 with Paddy Power
Leicester City (8/15)
Leicester City won the Championship last season, after which they lost their manager (Enzo Maresca) and their best player (Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall). If that was not enough, the Foxes will almost certainly suffer a points deduction for a previous breach of the Premier League’s financial rules.
Leicester do have top-flight experience, though, and Steve Cooper previously kept Nottingham Forest’s heads above water. Even so, they are odds-on favourites for a bottom-three finish.
Bet on Leicester to get relegated at 8/15 with bet365
Ipswich Town (8/11)
Ipswich Town were playing in League One as recently as 18 months ago, but back-to-back promotions have brought them back to the promised land. Kieran McKenna, their much-admired manager, has signed a new contract and Ipswich are ready to attack the Premier League.
This team is capable of scoring goals at the highest level, but McKenna must find the right balance between attack and defence. Ipswich’s squad is also short on proven Premier League knowhow.
Bet on Ipswich to get relegated at 8/11 with Sky Bet
Everton (6/4)
Everton were deducted eight points last term, yet they still stayed up pretty comfortably. But the club remains in limbo off the pitch and the ongoing takeover saga means the Toffees have been restricted in the transfer market. That will make life difficult for Sean Dyche this season.
However, Dyche is a shrewd operator who kept Burnley up year after year. His team will not necessarily play the prettiest football this season, but they should be able to grind out enough results to finish above the dreaded dotted line.
Bet on Everton to get relegated at 6/4 with Betfred
Nottingham Forest (7/1)
It has been a quieter summer than usual at Nottingham Forest – and that is a good thing after too much chaos in recent years. Nuno Espirito Santo has some good players at his disposal, but in each of the last two seasons, Forest finished only just above the drop zone.
Forest were defensively vulnerable for much of last season, especially from set-pieces. That is something Nuno needs to sort out, while Forest must also improve on the road: their record away from home has been poor since promotion.
Bet on Nottingham Forest to get relegated at 7/1 with VBET
Wolverhampton Wanderers (9/4)
Financial considerations forced Wolverhampton Wanderers to cash in on Pedro Neto and Max Kilman this summer. That is cause for concern, as is the fact that Gary O’Neil’s side ended last season poorly. If they are not careful, Wolves could be dragged into a relegation battle.
There is still enough talent in the squad for them to survive, although Wolves fans are hoping for one or two more additions before the transfer window shuts. Another centre-back would not go amiss following Kilman’s exit.
Bet on Wolves to get relegated at 9/4 with BoyleSports
Fulham (7/1)
It has been an exciting summer off the pitch at Fulham, who have not been afraid to splash the cash. Marco Silva is an underrated tactician and it is difficult to see the Cottagers being dragged into a battle at the bottom.
Indeed, Fulham will instead have their eyes on a top-half finish, although that will be difficult given how strong the Premier League is these days. Joao Palhinha will be a big miss, but Fulham have enough quality to survive.
Bet on Fulham to get relegated at 7/1 with bet365
Brentford (7/1)
Brentford are one of the smallest clubs in the Premier League, but they are now in their fourth season at the highest level of the English game. They are a well-run club behind the scenes and Thomas Frank is a smart head coach.
Brentford look set to lose Ivan Toney, their talisman over the last few years, before the end of the window. But the Bees have a good track record of replacing departed stars and they can continue punching above their weight this season.
Bet on Brentford at 7/1 with talkSPORT BET
Bournemouth (10/1)
Bournemouth struggled to get to grips with the demands of Andoni Iraola, their new manager, at the beginning of last season. But once the Spaniard had succeeded in transmitting his ideas to the players, the Cherries were superb.
Relegation could be more of a concern this season after the exit of Dominic Solanke, their top scorer in 2023/24. But with Iraola’s energetic and dynamic style of football, Bournemouth will have enough to survive.
Bet on Bournemouth to get relegated at 10/1 with VBET
Crystal Palace (11/1)
Crystal Palace finished 10th last season after a magnificent finish under Oliver Glasner. But they have since lost Joachim Andersen and Michael Olise, with Marc Guehi headed for the exit door too. Those are significant losses and this will probably be a transition year for Palace as a result.
It is difficult to see them going down, though. Glasner is an astute coach and there is still quality in the squad, which will surely be bolstered before the end of the transfer window.
Bet on Crystal Palace to get relegated at 11/1 with bet365
My Premier League relegation betting tips
Now that we have taken a closer look at the relegation contenders, here are my own betting tips.
Relegation treble – Southampton, Leicester City and Nottingham Forest
Southampton were too defensively weak in the Championship last season and their possession-based game makes them vulnerable. A probable points deduction will harm Leicester City, while Nottingham Forest have flirted with the drop for two seasons on the bounce.
Bet on Southampton, Leicester, and Forest to get relegated with talkSPORT BET
Calculate your relegation treble
To find out the combined odds on your favoured relegation treble, use our free betting calculator below.
Southampton to finish bottom (odds)
Last season’s play-off winners are in danger of being too easy to play against at the highest level. Russell Martin’s men will struggle to be sufficiently effective in both boxes.
Winner/To finish bottom double – Arsenal and Southampton
Arsenal came close to winning the Premier League title in 2022/23 and 2023/24, and they are ready to take the final step. As mentioned above, Southampton are set for a season of struggle.
Tip Arsenal to win the EPL and Southampton to finish bottom at bet365
Calculate your winner-bottom double
You can create your own winner-bottom double bet – use the calculator below to work out the odds for your pick.
Premier League 2024/25 table
Read more about the 2024/25 football season
Premier League top scorer odds
2023/2024 Premier League relegation vs promotion
For the first time since 1997/98, all three promoted teams were relegated to the Championship last season.
18th – Luton Town. The Hatters were the most competitive of the promoted trio and they pulled off some eye-catching results. But they were too open defensively and a poor end to the campaign led to their demise.
19th – Burnley. Vincent Kompany’s side were too easy to play against, even though they played some decent football at times. Burnley did not escape the bottom three all season long.
20th – Sheffield United. The Blades turned in a pitiful performance over 38 games, ending up with just 16 points to their name. Sheffield United set an unwanted Premier League record by conceding 104 goals.
The relegated clubs were replaced by Championship champions Leicester City, runners-up Ipswich Town and play-off winners Southampton.
History of Premier League relegation
In the first three seasons of the Premier League, the division contained 22 teams rather than 20. In those days, relegation battlers usually felt a haul of 45 points would be sufficient for survival.
In the 20-team days, 40 points was seen as the magic number to reach. Yet in each of the last eight years, 36 points was enough 100 percent of the time. The last time a team amassed 40 points and went down was in 2002/03, when an unfortunate West Ham United team were relegated despite reaching 42.
Premier League relegated teams 1992/93 to 1994/95
Season19th place (pts)20th place (pts)21st place (pts)22nd place (pts)1992/93—Crystal Palace (49)Middlesbrough (44)Nottingham Forest (40)1993/94—Sheff. United (42)Oldham Athletic (40)Swindon Town (30)1994/95Crystal Palace (45)Norwich City (43)Leicester City (29) Ipswich Town (27)
Premier League relegated teams from 1995/96 to 2023/24
Season18th place (pts)19th place (pts)20th place (pts)1995/96Man City (38)QPR (33)Bolton Wanderers (29)1996/97Sunderland (40)Middlesbrough (39)Nottingham Forest (34)1997/98Bolton (40)Barnsley (35)Crystal Palace (33)1998/99Charlton (36)Blackburn (35)Nott’m Forest (30)1999/00Wimbledon (33)Sheff Wednesday (31)Watford (24)2000/01Man City (34)Coventry City (34)Bradford City (26)2001/02Ipswich Town (36)Derby County (30)Leicester City (28)2002/03West Ham (42)West Brom (26)Sunderland (19)2003/04Leicester City (33)Leeds United (33)Wolves (33)2004/05Crystal Palace (33)Norwich City (33)Southampton (32)2005/06Birmingham City (34)West Brom (30)Sunderland (15)2006/07Sheff. United (38)Charlton Athletic (34)Watford (28)2007/08Reading (36)Birmingham City (35)Derby County (11)2008/09Newcastle (34)Middlesbrough (32)West Brom (32)2009/10Burnley (30)Hull City (30)Portsmouth (19)2010/11Birmingham City (39)Blackpool (39)West Ham (33)2011/12Bolton (36)Blackburn (31)Wolves (25)2012/13Wigan Athletic (36)Reading (28)QPR (25)2013/14Norwich City (33)Cardiff City (32)Fulham (30)2014/15Hull City (35)Burnley (33)QPR (30)2015/16Newcastle (37)Norwich City (34)Aston Villa (17)2016/17Hull City (34)Middlesbrough (28)Sunderland (24)2017/18Swansea City (33)Stoke City (33)West Brom (31)2018/19Cardiff City (34)Fulham (26)Huddersfield (16)2019/20Bournemouth (34)Watford (34)Norwich City (21)2020/21Fulham (28)West Brom (26)Sheff. United (23)2021/22Burnley (35)Watford (23)Norwich City (22)2022/23Leicester City (34)Leeds United (31)Southampton (25)2023/24Luton Town (26)Burnley (24)Sheffield United (16)
Most relegated teams in the Premier League
Norwich City have been relegated a record six times in the Premier League era, although that also means they have won promotion on five occasions. West Bromwich Albion have gone down in six seasons, with five different teams level on four demotions.
Norwich City (6): 1994/95, 2004/05, 2013/14, 2015/16, 2019/20, 2021/22
West Bromwich Albion (5): 2002/03, 2005/06, 2008/09, 2017/18, 2020/21
Crystal Palace (4): 1992/93, 1994/95, 1997/98, 2004/05
Middlesbrough (4): 1992/93, 1996/97, 2008/09. 2016/17
Sunderland (4): 1996/97, 2002/03, 2005/06, 2016/17
Sheffield United (4): 1993/94, 2006/07, 2020/21, 2023/24
Leicester City (4): 1994/95, 2001/02, 2003/04, 2022/23
FAQ about the 2024/25 Premier League season
Here are our answers to some of the most frequently asked questions about the 2024/25 Premier League season.
1. Which manager is likely to be sacked this season?
The bookmakers have Enzo Maresca down as the favourite to lose his job. The Italian was only appointed as Chelsea boss in the summer, but he has walked into a turbulent environment.
2. Who is likely to be the top-scoring player during the 2024/25 season?
Erling Haaland of Manchester City is the leading contender to be the Premier League’s top scorer, just as he was in the 2022/23 and 2023/24 seasons.
3. What team is likely to win the 2024/25 EPL?
Manchester City are the favourites to win the Premier League title as they seek a record-extending fifth championship on the bounce. However, Arsenal are breathing down City’s necks.
4. What teams are likely to qualify for European competitions in 2024/25 season?
The bookies expect Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, and Manchester United to qualify for the Champions League, but Tottenham Hotspur, Newcastle United, Chelsea, and Aston Villa are also in the mix. Elsewhere, Brighton & Hove Albion and West Ham United are potential underdogs.
More Premier League team overviews
About the author
Greg Lea
Greg Lea is a freelance football writer from London. He predominantly covers the Premier League and has had work published by the Guardian, FourFourTwo, ESPN and others.
Follow Greg on X: @GregLeaFootball
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