talkSPORT have you covered with free horse racing tips and free bets from Wednesday’s fixtures at Listowel for the Kerry National, Goodwood and Perth.
Tom Lunn has gone through the cards, form, going and much more to help guide your horse racing betting choices.
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Wednesday racing tips
PERTH
1.20: Deploy To Spy 7/4 (1pt)
2.28: Bowling Buddy 7/4 (1pt)
3.03: Kinondo Kwetu 10/3 (1pt)
LISTOWEL
4.20, Kerry National: Chemical Energy 14/1 each-way (1.5pts)
GOODWOOD
4.05: Botnical 2/1 (2pts)
Deploy To Spy
Could be a match here between Tommys Law and Deploy To Spy, with the former showing real potential in his two second place finishes.
Including behind a nicely rated horse that puts him right up there in this contest.
As a result he’s being given 7lb from Deploy To Spy who has won already, comfortably too, which puts him around the 119 mark which could be a bit high.
That said, he won so well and could have won on his hurdle debut before he was brought down, there could be more to come.
Second place in his latest race at Uttoxeter has since gone on to win achieving a mark of 104, and was even the odds-on favourite against Deploy To Spy.
It was a really impressive victory too having looked beaten going into the final two hurdles but pulled out much more in the run-in suggesting Sean Bowen still had plenty more up his sleeve.
Bowling Buddy
It’s another Olly Murphy-trained with Bowen up that takes the fancy in the 2.28 at Perth.
Bowling Buddy won well last time out, beating the reappearing Ravenscraig Castle comfortably.
They now have a 6lb sway yet this favourite is still clear and well-fancied.
Cuban Cigar seems to be the only other worry having improved last time out but did have a 7lb claimer on board that day over course and distance and goes to 5lb claimer Alan Doyle this time.
Kinondo Kwetu
The next at Perth is a great Class 2 handicap chase featuring some top-class geldings in Inis Oirr, Statuario and Kinondo Kwetu.
Tipped Kinondo Kwetu last time out and despite drifting from around 3’s to 13/2 won nicely.
He’s been upped another 3lb for that victory and seems to be thriving having been around this mark last year, placing 3rd of 16 behind Twig off 5lb higher for instance in a tough Class 2 handicap chase at Uttoxeter.
The Sam England-trained horse is likely to keep going as when he’s in form, he’s tough to beat.
The form lines also work out well and it’s hard to rule the gelding out as the better priced of the front three in the betting.
Chemical Energy
The Kerry National Handicap Chase has brought out a few big stars to the Grade 3, offering the winner 118,000 Euros.
Flooring Porter is the main contender given his staying power and lower chase mark than his top hurdle mark.
But he’s only been seen over fences four times in his career and will need to improve from his sole win over fences at Cheltenham back in October last year to win this.
The Real Whacker looks to make the most of his low mark, 7lb lower than his Gold Cup Chase rating, and has been right up there in tough chases before.
Beating Gerri Colombe in the Brown Advisory in 2023, before going on to face the King George VI Chase and ran with credit in 4th in that race.
Rain is forecast overnight in Listowel which could bring good to soft ground and perhaps soft in areas.
Most of these will be able to cope with that nicely but it will be tougher for those carrying top-weight, unless the likes of The Real Whacker and Flooring Porter are just looking to progress this season over fences.
Desertmore House won this last year off 9lb lower so will need to bounce back from a below par couple of runs over fences since.
Chemical Energy is actually 1lb lower than he was last year having only been seen in the Grand National in April and the Galway Plate since that race.
This opens it up for him to really improve having shown stamina in these races already and should be able to put things together for a win soon.
HIs second to Gaillard Du Mesnil in the 2023 Challenge Cup at Cheltenham Festival is testament to that and could be a nice each-way play.
Botanical
His second place of 20 behind Enfjaar has worked out well and on his first start for George Boughey and first run since July could be a big one.
The Lope De Vega horse has thrived over 1m2f this season, if you can ignore the rare blip at Royal Ascot.
To see him bounce back less than a month later was all the more encouraging and now he’s back in listed company and the clear favourite of ten runners.
Heavy ground is the big obstacle here for many of the flat runners but this horse won by six lengths as a two-year-old at Hamilton on soft ground, so that should be of no issue.
Tom Lunn’s Profit/Loss
August ’24: +34.88
From May ’24: +147.96pts
From July ’23: +360.52pts
All odds correct at time of writing
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